Typical length of a bear market

We recently spotted a very good piece on the typical length of a bear market. Mark Hulbert wrote a very descriptive article in the Wall Street Journal earlier this week – http://www.wsj.com/articles/bear-markets-can-be-shorter-than-you-think-1457321010 – where he shared research showing the typical bear market recovery happens on average, in 3.1 years. That means it only takes ~3 years for stocks to recover to where they were before the bear market started in the first place.

By |Comments Off on Typical length of a bear market

Back to the 80’s with Cheap Gasoline

Joanna and I were on the golf course this weekend talking about how much we pay for gasoline these days. Exciting life we live. I had mentioned I recently saw regular unleaded at $1.27.  I further mentioned seeing gasoline prices hit under 1 dollar back when I was in high school in the mid to late 80’s and how adults said “You will never see this again”. As it turns out, gasoline prices spent most of the next 15 years fluctuating between $1.20 and $1.50.

Super Bowl 50

With Super Bowl 50 approaching, this weekend is arguably the greatest sporting event in the world. Even the most casual of sports fan typically tune in. So much ‘noise’ around the game; who is playing the halftime show? Who will score first? Who will Cam give the ball too? Maybe that conversation turns to “what does so-in-so make?”

When Did Panic Selling Become a Strategy?

Investors: Keep your itchy finger off the trigger
What followed the 2008 mass exodus from stock funds? A five-year, cumulative 8.6 percent return for the S&P 500.

How about that 550-point intraday dive last week in the Dow! Did that finally get you to sell?

Or was it one of the many headlines about the trillions of dollars that have been wiped out of the stock market in the worst start for the Dow in history — since 1897! And worst start for the S&P 500 since the Great Depression began in 1929.

Click here to read the full CNBC article

Common Questions

Likely the most commonly asked question by prospective clients (and new clients) is “what makes you (CORDA) different?”  There are many answers to this question, but one of the most important and simple ones is how we are registered.

By |Comments Off on Common Questions

Year-end Planning

As I continue to work with families and advise them with their year-end planning I have come across some common questions regarding required distributions from qualified accounts.

By |Comments Off on Year-end Planning

George Costanza… simply doing the opposite

The sitcom Seinfeld is widely regarded as one of the greatest TV’s shows of all time. In one of my favorite episodes, George Costanza (a lovable character but often plagued by ill-timed decisions and hair brained ideas) decides he will try to reverse his fortunes by doing (and saying) the exact opposite of what his ‘normal’ thought process would be.

By |Comments Off on George Costanza… simply doing the opposite

10 Favorite Stocks for 2016

This weekend’s Barron cover story has some interesting facts about their Top 10 Stock Picks for 2015 and the resulting performance. The article is below for your enjoyment. Note how much the growth part of the market is out-performing the value segment this year. Also, the average loss on their best ideas list was about 6% thus far year to date. The key takeaway in our opinion is just how much the averages are being pushed by a handful of momentum stocks while the rest of the market lags. That is hard to sustain, and in our view, there will be a period of outperformance ahead for the so-called “penny

An Investing Parable

Mr. Market is a parable created by Benjamin Graham, often considered the “Father of Value Investing”. Mr. Market, you see, is a fictional character that offers to trade his stocks every day and at different prices. Mr. Market is an emotional and at times delusional person. He often lets the good times take his pricing too high and also lets a down market take his pricing well below intrinsic value. Below we are going to catch up with Mr. Market and see how the last 25 years have treated him.

Technical Fear, Fundamental Success

“Nothing creates fear like the belief that market declines are being caused by some fundamental problem.” A quote we read last week from Brian Westbury, Chief Economist at First Trust Advisors L.P. His economic take was fascinating and I am paraphrasing him below: